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Elections in the USA and SHOW MUST GO ON in the issue of the bipartisan support of Ukraine

01:37, 2-го грудня 2020 · Джерело: institutedd.org

Elections in the USA and SHOW MUST GO ON in the issue of the bipartisan support of Ukraine
The presidential elections took place in the USA (as well as the elections of the third of senators and the full committee of House of Representatives). The stress is gradually decaying, but the struggle for power has not finished yet.

It is obviously that the most appropriate option for the sustained and intensive functioning and synergy of all branches of government is the legislature to be monitored by the party whose candidate has won the presidential election. This is, of course, a desired future to the current situation, however rather fictitious. And if the situation with the next head of the White House clears up day by day (even D. Trump has publicly admitted that he will hand over the seat in the Oval Office as soon as the official results of the presidential race are announced), the Democrats are unlikely to get the control over the two houses of Congress, the Senate and the House of Representatives.

Although the House of Representatives is still under the Democrats’ control, the elections in the Senate 2020 are not finished. On January 5, 2021 the second round of the election race for two vacant seats of Senators is to be held in State of Georgia.

It is significant to note that as for today the republicans control 50 seats of 100 while the democrats have 48 of them (two more senators from other parties who tend to the Democrats during the voting are formally added to 46 Democratic senators).

Therefore, if on January 5, 2021 the democratic candidates win and get two more seats there will be 50 democrats and 50 republicans in the Senate, and the fate of the topic put to the vote will be determined by the additional vote of the Senate’s formal chairman, and this is the Vice President of the United States (the would-be Democrat Kamala Harris).

However, this is just a theory, in reality the chances of Democrats to take 2 senatorial seats in Georgia are seen as low. Therefore, it is likely that after January 5, 2021 the Republicans will retain control of the Senate with an advantage of 52 to 48, which does not provide the best conditions for the elected President J. Biden.

What are the lessons for Ukraine to be learnt once again so that our state does not appear on the front pages of the American media in a negative light (including the scandals with the accusation of G. Biden, the son of the would-be US President J. Biden, and the impeachment of D. Trump, when his conversation with the President of Ukraine V. Zelensky was repeatedly mentioned)? It is obviously that under no circumstances the Ukrainian officials should not interfere with the domestic affairs of the United States. The Ukrainian experts have repeatedly emphasized this, but the desire for selfpromotion often have an adverse impact on the forces recklessly trying to play on the field of the American domestic policy.

One more aspect is worth noting: the crisis of the Republican Party, the one which Trump has taken over, is becoming more and more obvious. To compete successfully with the Democratic Party in the future, the Republicans should think hard about their values ​​and elect new leaders in the post-Trump era (although the latter has already announced that he will run in the 2024 US presidential election). However, the transformation of values, if it happens, is the American citizens’ business. Ukraine and its political elites should refrain as much as possible from the excessive flirting with the Democratic Party (as the party of the US President) and not ignore the cooperation with the Republican Party (even if they lose the January 5, 2020 election and remain without Senate control).

Therefore, Ukraine’s bipartisan support in the United States is too valuable resource to be wasted in favor of today’s interests and personal ambitions. Moreover, in two years there can be a change in the balance of power on Capitol Hill in Washington (the upcoming elections of a third of senators and the elections of the entire House of Representatives).

Oleh Kozachuk
Doctor of Political Science, Yuriy Fedkovych Chernivtsi National University
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